Digital Economy

ASEAN’s Next Digital Leap: $300 Billion GMV, AI Infrastructure Boom, and the

The 10th edition of the e-Conomy SEA report reveals that ASEAN’s digital

ASEAN’s Next Digital Leap: $300 Billion GMV, AI Infrastructure Boom, and the

ASEAN’s Digital Economy Hits $300 Billion GMV: AI Infrastructure, Video Commerce, and Cross-Border Payments Reshape the Region

The 10th edition of the e-Conomy SEA report, released in 2025, delivers a clear signal: Southeast Asia’s digital economy has entered a new, more mature phase. Gross merchandise value (GMV) has crossed the $300 billion threshold, revenue has reached $135 billion, and a wave of infrastructure investment — from data centers to AI startups — is laying the foundation for the region’s next leap. Beneath the headline numbers, three structural shifts stand out: the explosion of video commerce, the rapid buildout of data center capacity, and a consumer appetite for AI that far exceeds global averages. This article unpacks these trends and what they mean for the region’s path toward a unified digital market.

ASEAN Digital Economy GMV Surpasses $300 Billion — 1.5 Times Original Forecast

The scale of ASEAN’s digital economy is no longer a story of potential but of realized growth. In 2025, the region’s digital GMV reached $300 billion, a figure that is 1.5 times higher than the original forecast made a decade ago. Revenue hit $135 billion, representing a 7.4x increase in GMV since 2016 and an 11.2x jump in revenue over the same period. The revenue-to-GMV ratio — a proxy for monetization maturity — has improved steadily, indicating that platforms are moving beyond user acquisition toward profitable operations.

[IMAGE: Infographic showing GMV growth curve from 2016 to 2025 with key milestones (video commerce, QR payments).]

One of the most striking sub-trends is the surge in video commerce. In three years, the category has grown five-fold, and by the end of 2025 it is expected to account for 25% of all e-commerce GMV in the region. Live streaming, short-form video, and shoppable content have become the default shopping interface for millions of mobile-first consumers. Platforms like TikTok Shop, Shopee Live, and Lazada Live are driving this shift, blurring the line between entertainment and transaction.

Cross-border payment interoperability has also accelerated. Eight ASEAN countries now enable QR-based cross-border payments, allowing consumers and merchants to transact seamlessly across borders using local apps. This infrastructure — built on regional standards and bilateral agreements — is fueling intra-regional trade and reducing friction for digital commerce. The report notes that this interoperability is a key enabler for the region’s growing digital trade volume, particularly in services and small-ticket goods.

The Infrastructure Engine: Data Centers Grow 180% as AI Investment Surges

Behind the consumer-facing growth lies a massive infrastructure buildout. ASEAN’s data center capacity is set to expand by 180% — equivalent to 4,600 megawatts of new capacity — outpacing the rest of Asia Pacific, where growth is around 120%. This expansion is concentrated in Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Thailand, with Singapore alone accounting for a significant share of new capacity despite recent moratoriums on new data center builds.

[IMAGE: Map of planned data center locations in ASEAN with capacity bubbles, overlaid with investment flow arrows.]

The driving force is twofold: the region’s own digital demand and the global appetite for compute capacity. Hyperscalers such as Google, Amazon Web Services, and Microsoft have each announced multi-billion-dollar investments in ASEAN data centers over the past two years. Local players are also expanding, with regional telcos and real estate firms entering the colocation market. The report points out that this buildout is not just for today’s workloads — it positions ASEAN as a global hub for AI compute, particularly as companies seek to diversify their cloud and AI infrastructure beyond the United States and China.

Private funding for digital startups in the region rose 15% year-over-year to approximately $8 billion in the first half of 2025. Of that, over $2.3 billion flowed into more than 680 AI-related startups. AI accounted for more than 30% of all private funding in the first half of the year, a share that has nearly doubled from 2023. The digital financial services (DFS) sector drew half of the total deal value, underscoring the convergence of AI and fintech. AI is being deployed for credit scoring, fraud detection, personalized lending, and insurance underwriting — use cases that are particularly relevant in a region with large unbanked populations.

The deep insight here is that ASEAN is not merely a consumer of AI technology; it is building the infrastructure and startup ecosystem to become a producer. The combination of hyperscale data centers, a growing pool of AI engineers, and supportive regulatory frameworks in countries like Singapore and Malaysia is attracting global AI companies to set up regional compute hubs.

Consumer AI: Adoption Three Times Global Average, 3 in 4 Users Report Benefit

If the infrastructure story is about supply, the consumer story is about demand. ASEAN consumers are showing an extraordinary appetite for AI-powered tools and services. According to the report, consumer interest in AI topics is three times the global average. More importantly, three out of four users who have tried AI tools say they have helped them — whether for work, education, shopping, or daily tasks.

[IMAGE: Collage showing diverse ASEAN users interacting with AI on smartphones (chatbots, shopping, payment apps).]

This high adoption rate is rooted in the region’s mobile-first, app-native digital behavior. Over 60% of all payments in ASEAN are now digital, and three in five people shop online. These dense, digitized ecosystems provide a fertile ground for AI applications: recommendation engines that personalize shopping feeds, chatbots that handle customer service in local languages, and fraud detection systems that run in real time on payment networks. The report highlights that food delivery platforms, which have reached profitability across several markets, are now embedding AI for route optimization, demand forecasting, and dynamic pricing.

The consumer AI wave is also visible in education, healthcare, and productivity. Language translation apps, AI tutors, and health diagnosis tools are gaining traction, particularly in markets like Vietnam, the Philippines, and Indonesia, where access to traditional services is uneven. The report notes that the willingness to pay for AI-enhanced services is higher than expected, especially among younger, urban users.

However, the report also flags a caution: while interest and usage are high, trust remains a concern. Only about half of users feel comfortable sharing data with AI systems, and awareness of data privacy risks varies widely across countries. Building trust will be essential for sustaining adoption, particularly as regulatory frameworks like Singapore’s Model AI Governance Framework and Thailand’s Personal Data Protection Act come into full effect.

Unified Market, Divergent Speeds: The Road Ahead for ASEAN

Cross-border QR payments and harmonized digital regulations are creating the foundations of a single digital market in ASEAN. The report notes that regulatory alignment on e-commerce, data flows, and digital identity is progressing, driven by the ASEAN Digital Masterplan 2025 and bilateral agreements between member states. But the reality on the ground is one of divergent speeds.

[IMAGE: Bar chart comparing data center capacity, AI startup funding, and digital payment adoption across ASEAN countries.]

The 180% growth in data center capacity is heavily concentrated in four markets: Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Thailand. Other countries — Myanmar, Cambodia, Laos, and Brunei — have seen minimal new investment. Similarly, over 80% of AI startup funding flows to Singapore and Indonesia, with Vietnam and the Philippines capturing most of the remainder. This concentration risks creating a two-tier digital economy, where advanced markets leap ahead while lagging markets struggle with infrastructure gaps and limited access to capital.

The report’s data on over 680 AI startups also points to an upcoming consolidation phase. Many of these startups are early-stage and focused on narrow verticals — fintech, health tech, agritech, and logistics. The next wave will likely see specialization and consolidation, as larger players acquire promising startups to fill product gaps, and as funding shifts toward later-stage rounds. The report suggests that the most successful AI startups will be those that solve real local problems — such as smallholder farmer credit access, traffic congestion, or language translation — rather than those that simply replicate global models.

Looking ahead, ASEAN has a unique opportunity: to leapfrog into an AI-first digital economy without being burdened by legacy infrastructure. The region’s young, digitally native population, combined with its rapid infrastructure buildout and strong policy momentum, creates a recipe for sustained growth. But this will require deliberate efforts to bridge the digital divide — investing in last-mile connectivity, affordable devices, and digital literacy in underserved areas.

The e-Conomy SEA report’s 10th edition makes one thing clear: ASEAN’s digital economy is no longer a collection of separate national markets. It is becoming a unified, AI-enabled ecosystem. The $300 billion GMV milestone is not the finish line — it is a new starting point. The next decade will be defined by how well the region manages the infrastructure buildout, nurtures its AI startup ecosystem, and ensures that the benefits of digital growth reach all 670 million citizens. If it succeeds, ASEAN could well become the most dynamic digital region in the world. If it stumbles, the gap between the fast and the slow could widen into a chasm. The choices made now will determine which path the region takes.

S

Written by

Sarah Chen

Digital Economy Editor 🇸🇬 Singapore

Covering e-commerce and fintech across Southeast Asia for 8 years. Based in Singapore, Sarah provides deep insights into the region's digital payment landscape.

Expertise:
E-commerce
Fintech
Digital Payments

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